Secrets of Poker

Unveiling the secrets of poker!







Bad luck in poker

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Do not pass, are recorded in the poker room through one of the banners in my blog ;)

To be a successful poker player should only bet with a positive expectation. For example, the chance to turn to complete a flush draw on the river of about 1:4. This means that if the pot is that you can win more than your bid of more than 4 times, then you can make a bet. Otherwise it is better to fold. In pursuit of the flush you'll pick up a bank of five, and with a positive mathematical expectation of the size of your pay for losses from the four banks lost earlier. But in practice, you will not complete the flush draw is strictly a time of 5. It is likely that your draw is not completed more than 10 times in a row, and another time you complete the flash many times in a row again. This deviation from the mean calculated values ​​is called dispersion. Dispersion - is part of the theory of probability. The longer the distance - the smaller the variance is expressed.

But there is one caveat. A series of bad beats can affect the player's confidence - enter it in the tilt, and then further failures will no longer be explained by the variance, and its uncertain game. That's how poker players that they do not notice things when they get a winning combination of more than explains the mathematical calculation of the average. But when they will move several times, once the panic starts. Long-term failure in the game called - "black bars".

And is it illogical black stripes? Not at all. Black bars do not contradict the theory of probability, but rather confirms it. The absence of black bands - that's what it would be unusual! variance.

A black band can be observed only in the "rear-view mirror." No one can never tell when a black band over. Even after a long series of bad beats you have an absolutely equal chance of winning, as well as outside the black stripes. Nothing more, nothing less. If you flip a coin 20 times and she fell straight eagle, and then on the 21 th time the chances of coming up heads and tails are still equal to 50% to 50%. Misleading to think - if the coin 20 times dropped an eagle, but this time it surely will fall tails. Even more naive to believe - if I'm 20 times unlucky - so I have a black stripe and a welcome card now would not appear until the band stops. Such an assumption - a sign of tilt, and not a black band. If you feel insecure in the game, the fear, it is better to finish a game session for a day or two.

Do not forget to play by the odds. Do not try to recoup quickly in the hope that the black band is about to be completed, but never a black strip is forecast to continue in the future. She, wretched, can only be in the past and has no relation to the present and future. It is better not forget about the rules of bankroll management - this will allow you to endure any variance. And to restore the lost bankroll you later - in the long run.

Do not pass, are recorded in the poker room through one of the banners in my blog ;)

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